Trade Policy and Jobs in Vietnam: The Unintended Consequences of Trump’s Trade War

Lorenzo Rotunno, Sanchari Roy, Anri Sakakibara and Pierre-Louis Vézina

No 9rdne, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: We use the US-China trade war as an exogenous shock to export opportunities in Vietnam and examine its effect on Vietnam’s exports and labor markets. We find that Vietnamese exports to the US were around 40 percent higher in 2020 relative to 2017 in sectors hit by US tariffs on Chinese products. This increase is driven by both new export product varieties and increased exports in existing categories. This expansion in export opportunities led to job creation and increased working hours in affected sectors relative to non-affected ones. It also led to an increase in wages, even more so for women workers.

Date: 2023-04-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-des, nep-dev, nep-int and nep-sea
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:9rdne

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/9rdne

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