On the Similarity of Fertility across European National Borders

John Ermisch

No nej84, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: The paper introduces to comparative cross-national fertility research a method to formalise what is meant by the TFR’s of countries ‘moving together’. It is based on the estimation of long run fertility relationships which are stationary series (so called ‘cointegrating equations’). Six sets of countries with similar TFR movements within each were identified: Northwest Europe (England and Wales, France, Netherlands and Belgium); (2) Southern Europe (Italy, Spain and Portugal); (3) the Nordic countries (Denmark, Sweden, Norway and Finland); (4) Germany and Austria; (5) the Eastern Europe group of Poland, Czechia, Hungary and Estonia); and (6) the group of Russia, Belarus and Lithuania. There are unique features of TFR movements in each region. But Northwest Europe, the Nordic countries and Southern Europe all share a decline in their TFR during the past decade, albeit from different levels of fertility. This strongly suggests that factors influencing fertility during this period do not stem from particular features in each country but broader influences, whether social or economic.

Date: 2023-09-28
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-dem, nep-eec, nep-eur and nep-tra
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:nej84

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/nej84

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