East Asia FTA and Kansai-Area fs Trade

Sumie Sato and Mototsugu Fukushige ()
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Sumie Sato: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University

No 07-41, Discussion Papers in Economics and Business from Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics

Abstract: This paper attempts to forecast the changes in the Kansai-Area fs import and export when the East Asia Free Trade Agreements (FTA) is concluded among several countries in East and South-East Asia. We simulate the changes in the Kansai-Area fs trade in the following manner. First, we survey the simulation studies that forecast the changed in Japan fs national level trades by industries under the FTA. Second, we estimate a link model between the Japan fs national level and Kansai-Area fs import and export by commodities. Finally, we forecast the changes in the Kansai-Area fs import and export by extrapolating the estimated link models with the changes in the national level import and export. The result implies that the FTA promotes the Kansai-Area fs trade totally and expands the regional trade surplus.

Keywords: Free Trade Agreements; regional trade; Kansai-Area (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F17 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2007-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cmp, nep-int and nep-sea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osk:wpaper:0741

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