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Analysis of the Effects of COVID-19 Outbreak on Population Distribution within Cities

Toru Takemoto, Nobuo Akai and Ryuji Kutsuzawa
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Toru Takemoto: College of Law, Nihon University
Nobuo Akai: Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University
Ryuji Kutsuzawa: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism

No 22J003, OSIPP Discussion Paper from Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University

Abstract: The COVID-19 outbreak could have a negative impact on population change within cities. The impact will be greater in the centers of cities, in particular, given that they present greater chances of person-to-person contact. Consequently, population distribution will also change within the cities. Therefore, this paper, using population data in mesh-based regions divided by a certain width of latitude and longitude, analyzes the effect of COVID-19 on the population distribution within cities. The analysis is based on a fixed effect model using panel data. The analysis showed that COVID-19 had a negative impact on the change of population in meshed-based regions, and that the impact decreased with increasing distance from the centers of cities.

Keywords: Spatial Distribution of the Population; Mesh-Based Region; Standard Distance; COVID-19; Fixed Effect Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R11 R12 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 9pages
Date: 2022-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
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