Furor over the Fed: A President’s Tweets and Central Bank Independence

Antoine Camous and Dmitry Matveev

CESifo Economic Studies, 2021, vol. 67, issue 1, 106-127

Abstract: We illustrate how financial market data are informative about the interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. Federal funds futures are private contracts that reflect investor’s expectations about future monetary policy decisions. By relating price movements of these contracts with President Trump’s tweets on monetary policy, we explore how financial market participants have perceived attempts by the President to influence monetary policy decisions. Our results indicate that market participants expected the Federal Reserve Bank to adjust monetary policy in the direction suggested by President Trump. (JEL codes: E44, E52, and E58)

Keywords: monetary policy; financial markets; credibility; central bank research (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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