A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads

Robert Jarrow (), David Lando and Stuart M Turnbull

The Review of Financial Studies, 1997, vol. 10, issue 2, 481-523

Abstract: This article provides a Markov model for the term structure of credit risk spreads. The model is based on Jarrow and Turnbull (1995), with the bankruptcy process following a discrete state space Markov chain in credit ratings. The parameters of this process are easily estimated using observable data This model is useful for pricing and hedging corporate debt with imbedded options, for pricing and hedging OTC derivatives with counterparts risk, for pricing and hedging (foreign) government bonds subject to default risk (e.g., municipal bonds), for pricing and hedging credit derivatives, and for risk management. Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

Date: 1997
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