The Great Recession and a Missing Generation of Exporters

William F. Lincoln (), Andrew H. McCallum () and Michael Siemer ()
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William F. Lincoln: Claremont McKenna College
Andrew H. McCallum: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Michael Siemer: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

IMF Economic Review, 2019, vol. 67, issue 4, No 1, 703-745

Abstract: Abstract We study the impact of foreign market entry and exit by firms on the trajectory of U.S. exports during and after the Great Recession. Using confidential microdata from the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that incumbent exporters were primarily responsible for the changes in aggregate foreign sales during these years. While there was a substantial decline in the number of firms that sold abroad in the midst of the crisis, new exporters during the recovery compensated for this by having larger foreign sales. Thus, while changes in foreign market participation drove substantial shifts in the variety of U.S. goods that were exported, overall they were less important for the trajectory of total foreign sales over time.

Keywords: Great recession; Business cycles; Exports; Entry; Exit; Firm dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 F10 F40 J2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1057/s41308-019-00091-3

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