Climate Change in Bangladesh: Exploring the Past and Potential Future Impacts

Fahmida Khatun and Syed Yusuf Saadat

No 145, CPD Working Paper from Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD)

Abstract: Bangladesh is at the frontline of the battle against climate change, which directly threatens the economic development prospects of the country. This paper utilises expectation maximisation algorithms and autoregressive integrated moving average models to predict the state of climate change indicators for Bangladesh in the near future. The findings from the forecasts show that in the business-as-usual scenario, annual average temperatures will increase by 0.95 per cent year-on-year, greenhouse gas emissions will increase 5.17 per cent year-on-year, and a total of 30,366,230 households will be affected by climate change in Bangladesh in 2030.

Keywords: Climate change; Bangladesh; Greenhouse gas emission (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2022-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-env
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https://cpd.org.bd/resources/2022/07/Climate-Chang ... l-Future-Impacts.pdf

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pdb:opaper:145

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