Trends and Decomposition Growth Analysis of the Most Important Cereal Crops in Egypt

Ahmed Abou El-Yazid El-Rasoul, Sameh M. Hassan Shehab and Heba El-Sayed Maghraby

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This research aims to analyze the growth performance of the most important cereal crops of Egypt agriculture (wheat, rice, and maize) and the sources of the production growth of these crops during the period 1975-2017. This analysis is to implement appropriate policies that would enhance the production increase of these crops using component analysis. Based on the results of the Chow Breakpoint test, the study was divided into three periods: 1975-1986, 1987-2000 and 2001-2017, in addition to the full period 1975-2017.The results showed that the growth of wheat, rice and maize production during the study periods depends on changes in yield more than changes in area. So, the study emphasizes that the vertical expansion has a greater impact than the horizontal expansion. This is reflecting the effect of scientific research and development (R&D) on increasing cereal crops in Egypt.

Keywords: Compound growth rate; Decomposition analysis of growth; Effect of area and yield; Cereal crops trends in Egypt. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E23 Q15 Q16 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-04, Revised 2020
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Published in IOSR Journal of Agriculture and Veterinary Science (IOSR-JAVS) DOI: 10.9790/2380-1304010109 4(1).13(2020): pp. 01-09

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:100231

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