intégration économique et convergence des cycles: une analyse entre le Cameroun et le Nigéria
Economic Integration and cycle convergence: an analysis between Cameroon and Nigeria
Romuald Fernand Awoutcha Tchieuzing and
Florent Fotsing Waffo
MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany
Abstract:
Does the deepening of bilateral trade between Cameroon and Nigeria strengthen the links between their economic cycles in such a way as to eventually lead to a synchronous evolution? This is the question we attempt to answer here. To do this, two approaches are highlighted: the cycle approach on the one hand. The other is the concordance index of Harding and Pagan (2006), on the other hand. The results obtained show that there is a strong synchronization between the economic cycles of the two countries. The deepening of economic integration between Cameroon and Nigeria constitutes a vector of cyclical transmission and therefore increases the probability of transmission of crises and financial tensions.
Keywords: Intégration économique; Synchronisation; Cycle économique (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 F15 F19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-03-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:116791
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