CETA, an ex post analysis

Giovanni Maria Ficarra and Emanuele Millemaci

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We perform an ex-post analysis of the effects of the CETA trade agreement in the agricultural, farming and food transformation sectors. We find strong evidence in support of a positive trade effect of the treaty. We also perform a series of analyses aimed at ascertaining the effects of the treaty on various subsectors. We find overall net-positive trade effects although we can clearly identify “winners” and “losers” of the treaty. Our analyses seem to indicate a positive trade creation effect not limited to the parties. We find evidence that the increase in trade flow between the members had a net positive effect in the form of an increase in overall international trade. We draw some preliminary policy conclusions on the effects of the treaty.

Keywords: CETA; –; Gravity; Equation; –; Trade; –; Poisson; Regression; –; Cluster; analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 F13 F14 F15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-int
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:119696

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