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Natural Disasters and Markups

Francesco Conteduca and Ludovic Panon

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Industries are not fully geographically concentrated, so that natural disasters can affect the degree of competition in the industry, forcing firms to adapt, and have aggregate consequences. Using administrative data, we show that natural disasters in Italy lead to a persistent decline in markups of affected manufacturing firms, particularly large ones. We implement an oligopolistic competition model with idiosyncratic shocks directly on the firm-level data and quantify how markup adjustments shape aggregate productivity and welfare. Our findings suggest that markup adjustments may have mitigated the impact of the 2012 Italian earthquake on aggregate productivity by approximately 30%.

Keywords: Natural Disasters; Markups; Oligopolistic Competition; Aggregate Productivity; Misallocation; Firm Heterogeneity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D22 D43 O47 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-12-17
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-com, nep-eff, nep-env and nep-ind
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