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Global energy and environmental scenarios: Implications for development policy

Dirk Willenbockel

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: As part of a wider review of existing scenario analyses in areas with direct relevance to the future of global development, this paper focuses on two major recent studies: the scenarios contained in the UN Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA) and the scenarios developed by the International Energy Agency (IEA) in support of the G8 Gleneagles plan of action on climate change, clean energy and sustainable development. The paper offers a critical appraisal of these scenarios, examines the drivers of change that are considered to influence future developments, explores the implications of the scenarios for developing countries, and outlines what types of changes in development policy could be appropriate in light of the lessons learned from these scenario exercises.

Keywords: Economic development; Low-carbon growth; Sustainable growth; Millennium development goals (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q56 Q57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: Global energy and environmental scenarios: implications for development policy (2009) Downloads
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