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An Inquiry into Banking Portfolios and Financial Stability Surrounding "The Great Recession"

Gus Garita

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: By utilizing the extreme dependence structure and the conditional probability of joint failure (CPJF) between banks, this paper characterizes a risk-stability index (RSI) that quantifies (i) common distress of banks, (ii) distress between specific banks, and (iii) distress to a portfolio related to a specific bank. The results show that financial stability is a continuum; that the Korean and U.S. banking systems seem more prone to systemic risk; and that Asian banks experience the most persistence of distress. Furthermore, a panel VAR indicates that "leaning against the wind" reduces the instability of a financial system.

Keywords: Conditional probability of joint failure; contagion; dependence structure; distress; multivariate extreme value theory; panel VAR; persistence; risk. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C10 E44 F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-10-18
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban and nep-rmg
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