The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-step analysis of American economic history

Scott Albers and Andrew L. Albers

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The Long-Wave theories of Nikolai Kondratiev and others claim to find mathematic waves in economic and other social data which are at present in dispute. Currently the theory is considered outside the scope of mainstream economics under several rationales. Despite the lack of mainstream acceptance, we make a strong case for the existence of long waves in the Real GNP of the United States with a 56 year cycle. Our analysis bypasses many of the issues cited by Long-Wave theory critics and in fact clarifies the mathematical structure of the theory.

Keywords: Real GNP; Golden Mean; Fibonacci Series; Arab Spring; Phi; Long Wave; Long Cycle; Kondratiev Wave; Economic Forecasting; Economic Model; Global Financial Crisis; Constitutional Law; American Economic History; Revolution; Consolidation; GNP Spiral; Okun's Law; “The Great Moderation” (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A13 B4 B59 C02 C19 C53 E0 E00 E01 E02 E19 E27 E3 E37 E39 K0 K19 N1 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-07-21
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-his, nep-mac and nep-pke
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

Published in The Middle East Studies Online Journal 6.3(2011): pp. 199-253

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:33004

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