Income Shocks and HIV in Africa

Marshall Burke, Erick Gong () and Kelly Jones

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We examine how variation in local economic conditions has shaped the AIDS epidemic in Africa. Using data from over 200,000 individuals across 19 countries, we match biomarker data on individuals' HIV status to information on local rainfall shocks, a large source of variation in income for rural households. We estimate that infection rates in HIV-endemic rural areas increase by 11% for every recent drought, an effect that is statistically and economically significant. Income shocks explain up to 20% of the variation in HIV prevalence across African countries, suggesting policy approaches for HIV prevention that are distinct from existing efforts.

Keywords: income shocks; HIV/AIDS; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I15 O12 O55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-dev and nep-hea
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Income shocks and HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa (2011)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:55392

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