Population with immigration: Turkey and the EU. Does a young population remedy to the aged?

Durmus Ozdemir and Angi Rosch

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Annual population growth rate in Turkey is as high as 1.1 per cent, while many EU countries have shrinking, and hence ageing, populations. In this paper we consider an age-structured population that consists of female natives and Turkish immigrants into the EU. Immigrants’ fertility and mortality schedule may differ from that of EU natives, their children may adopt it. We apply a discrete-time Leslie-type model which allows for immigration and the study of its long-run effects. We examine the contribution of EU natives and Turkish immigrants to the EU population in terms of age-specific reproductive values which measure the value of one female of a given age as a seed for future population growth. Genealogies are derived in terms of the realisations of a corresponding Markov chain running backward in time.

Keywords: Turkey and the EU; ageing populations; immigration; stochastic demography; stable populations; discrete-time Leslie-type model; age-specific reproductive values; Markov chain; genealogy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005-05-09, Revised 2014-05-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-ara, nep-cwa and nep-dem
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Published in Policy Modeling International Conference, EcoMod, Istanbul, Istanbul Conference Proceedings.5(2005): pp. 1-20

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/55848/1/MPRA_paper_55848.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:55848

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().