هيكل الدين العام في الأردن وتأثيره على النمو الاقتصادي (1980 - 2012)

The structure of public debt in Jordan and its impact on economic growth (1980-2012)

Radi AL-Adayleh, Hassan AL-amro and Huthaifa AL-Gralleh

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The intention of this study was to investigate the structure of public debt in Jordan and its impact on economic growth, over the period 1980-2012. The statistical techniques which were employed in this study include Johanson co-integration test, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to explore the association between domestic debt and external debt ratio of GDP as independent variables and the total debt relative to GDP as the dependent variable, Also Fully modified least squares (FMOLS) approach is employed in order to describe the impact of internal and external debt on economic growth. The co-integration test procedure reveals that there is one relationship, consequently an (VECM) was estimated revealing that 9 % of the departure from equilibrium is cleared annually, and the results of Causality test showed that independent variables have uni-directional relationship with the total debt as the dependent variable . Based on regression coefficient, it was found that external debt has a negative influence, and domestic debt has positive influence on economic growth . The study recommended that the external debt must be re-oriented toward invested in productive projects in order to the burden of debt service

Keywords: Public Debt; GDP; Fully modified least squares (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E6 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-04-28
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara and nep-mac
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