Exchange rate Pass-Through to domestic prices in Tunisia: a short and long run analysis

Helali Kamel, Maha Kalai and Thouraya Boujelben

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study analyzes the impact of the exchange rate fluctuations in the short and long-runs in Tunisia under a pure commitment policy through two channels. The first is the Structural Vector Autoregression used to analyze the short run effects of the exchange rate on the industrial production index and on the consumer and import price indexes. The second is the Vector Error Correction Model used to examine the long run dynamic effects of the exchange rate upon the same variables relying on Tunisian monthly data during the period January 1993 to June 2011. Unlike several empirical studies, which show that the impact of the exchange rate movements on prices has been reduced over the past few years in the industrialized countries, the exchange rate is found to be a potential source not only of production but also of inflation reduction in Tunisia. Indeed, the direct channel of the exchange rate seems to have a significant impact on production and inflation in the long-run, whereas the indirect one has no effect on the money supply. These results strongly support the monetary policy of the central bank targeting the exchange rate because there is a strong correlation between this rate and prices.

Keywords: Exchange rate Pass-through; domestic prices; short and long run analysis; Tunisia. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E31 F31 F43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-06-15, Revised 2014-12-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/62204/1/MPRA_paper_62204.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in Tunisia: a short- and long-run analysis (2015)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:62204

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().