Testing semi-strong efficiency in a fixed odds betting market: Evidence from principal European football leagues

Giovanni Bernardo, Massimo Ruberti and Roberto Verona

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In this paper, we try to measure the semi-strong efficiency of the sports betting market. In particular, we aim to understand whether the efficiency of the market is realized in the case of fixed odds provided by bookmakers on the four major European football championships. By examining the trends of odds in the event of some major change in expectations about the teams’ results, i.e. when a team’s coach is replaced, we attempt to verify the argument that a profitable betting strategy for the bettor is likely possible. In this case, the market that we are taking into account will be inefficient.

Keywords: Market efficiency; semi-strong efficiency; sports betting market; fixed odds (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C80 D40 D43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-09-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cul, nep-eur and nep-spo
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:66414

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