Forecast in Capital Markets

Dimitri Ledenyov and Viktor Ledenyov

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In the Schumpeterian technical and social innovations disruption age, we firmly believe that a big number of unlimited opportunities toward a new era of the ultra high frequency electronic trading in the foreign currencies exchange markets is being created due to an increasing application of the computations processing in the range of ultra high frequencies in the modern finances. In this book, we would like to focus on the capital markets in the finances, discussing a number of scientific methods for an accurate forecast of the foreign currencies exchange rates oscillations dynamics during the ultra high frequency electronic trading in the foreign currencies exchange markets in the short and long time periods. More specifically, we would like to precisely characterize the foreign currencies exchange rates at the ultra high frequencies electronic trading in the foreign currencies exchange markets in the short and long time periods, using the mathematical, financial, electronic and quantum analysis methods. In addition, we would like to propose the quantum winning virtuous strategies creation algorithm with the inductive, deductive, abductive and quantum logics to earn an increasing return premium during the ultra high frequencies electronic trading in the foreign currencies exchange markets in the short and long time periods.

Keywords: absorption of information; diffusion of information; transmission of information; information theory; ultra high frequency electronic trading; processing frequency; algorithmic trading; informed trading; noise trading; currencies exchange rate; vehicle currency; interest rate; retail aggregator; liquidity aggregator; interdealer trade orders flow direction; stop-loss order; bid - ask spreads; price discovery process; capital inflow; capital outflow; carry trade strategy; financial liquidity; foreign currencies exchange market micro structure; foreign currencies exchange rate dynamics; Wiener filtering theory; Stratanovich-Kalman-Bucy filtering algorithm; Stratanovich – Kalman – Bucy filter; particle filter; nonlinearities; Ledenyov law on limiting frequency for ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets; econophysics; econometrics; global foreign exchange market; global capital market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 G11 G15 G17 G19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-06-29
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ger and nep-mst
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