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Envelope Wages, Hidden Production and Labor Productivity

Alessandro Di Nola, Georgi Kocharkov and Aleksandar Vasilev

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We evaluate the relative importance of aggregate labor productivity versus income taxes and social contributions for tax compliance in an economy with a large degree of informality. Empirical evidence points out that tax evasion in Europe happens through partially concealing wages and profits in formally registered enterprises. To this end, we build a model in which employer-employee pairs of heterogeneous productive capacities make joint decisions on the degree of tax evasion. The quantitative model is used to analyze the case of Bulgaria which has the largest informal economy in Europe and underwent a number of important tax reforms over the period 2000-2014, including the introduction of a flat income tax in 2008. The estimation strategy relies on matching the empirical series for the size of the informal economy and other aggregate outcomes for 2000-2014. Our counterfactual experiments show that the most important factor for the changing size of the informal economy is labor productivity, which accounts for more than 75% of the change. The variation in corporate income tax accounts for the rest. We find that the 2008 flat tax reform did not play any visible role in coping with informality.

Keywords: Envelope wages; hidden production; informal economy; flat tax reform (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E6 E65 H24 H26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eff, nep-iue, nep-mac and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Journal Article: Envelope wages, hidden production and labor productivity (2019) Downloads
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