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Time-Varying Exchange Rate Risk Premium

Anh D.M.Nguyen and Ly Dai Hung

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We characterize the exchange rate risk premium on the context of a small open economy with controlled floating exchange rate regime. The data set includes 100 observations on case of Vietnam over 01/2011-04/2019. The risk premium is varying over time. And it is determined by output growth rate, inflation rate, foreign capital inflows and liquidity supply. As one application, the existence of time varying risk premium reduces the effectiveness of foreign exchange market intervention by forward contract.

Keywords: Exchange Rate Premium; Foreign Exchange Intervention; Forward Contract (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 F36 F43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk, nep-mon, nep-sea and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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