How Excessive are External Imbalances in Selected Transition Countries?

Aleksander Aristovnik and Stanka Setnikar-Cankar

Prague Economic Papers, 2006, vol. 2006, issue 3, 243-267

Abstract: This article examines the main current account balance determinants in order to assess the potential excessiveness of current account deficits in selected transition countries. For this purpose, dynamic panel-regression techniques are used to characterise the properties of current account variations across the transition regions. The results are chiefly consistent with the theoretical and previous empirical analysis, indicating a moderate level of current account deficits persistency and negative effects of economic growth, real appreciation and worsening of terms of trade on the external balances. Furthermore, the validity of the stages of development hypothesis and twin deficit hypothesis, as well as the significance of demographic factors is confirmed in the regions. Finally, the results suggest that most transition countries are justified in running relatively high current account deficits.

Keywords: transition; current account deficits; excessiveness; determinants; dynamic panel data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 F32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.287

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