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A Bivariate Copula-based Model for a Mixed Binary-Continuous Distribution: A Time Series Approach

Katarzyna Bień-Barkowska

Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, 2012, vol. 4, issue 2, 117-142

Abstract: In this paper we present a copula-based model for a binary and a continuous variable in a time series setup. Within this modeling framework both marginals can be equipped with their own dynamics whereas the contemporaneous dependence between both processes can be flexibly captured via a copula function. We propose a method for testing the goodness-offit of such a time series model using probability integral transforms (PIT). This verification procedure allows not only a verification of the goodness-offit of the estimated marginal distribution for a continuous variable but also the conditional distribution of a continuous variable given the outcome of its binary counterpart (i.e. the adequacy of the copula choice). We test the model on an empirical example: investigating the relationship between trading volume and the indicators of arbitrarily ’large’ price movements on the interbank EUR/PLN spot market.

Keywords: copula function; mixed binary-continuous distribution; ACD models; market microstructure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C18 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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