Towards Sustainable Growth: Rebuilding the Foundations of the Cyprus Economy

Leslie G. Manison (m.manison@yahoo.com) and Savvakis Savvides
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Leslie G. Manison: Independent Consultant

No 2016-07, Development Discussion Papers from JDI Executive Programs

Abstract: Following the severe financial crisis of 2012/2013 and the subsequent contraction of the Cyprus economy, the authors consider the policies and institutional changes required to regenerate economic growth. It is argued that the crisis emanated largely from the wasteful use of investible funds both in the private and public sectors. The authors contend that only a substantial trend increase in quality public and private investments can produce the sustained economic growth necessary to alleviate the very high levels of unemployment and non-performing loans currently afflicting the economy. Subsequent to an analysis of the factors affecting investment performance, policies are proposed for raising productive investments. These should focus on building a capability to source funds and competently appraise and select investment projects, and also to restructure debt-laden, but potentially profitable enterprises. It is proposed that an institution with expertise in project financing, such as a National Development Finance Agency, be established to disentangle the complex web of the outstanding loans of enterprises and ascertain their viability and repayment capability. Furthermore, through a conversion of debt to equity and by attracting new funds this institution should facilitate potentially viable enterprises to undertake investments. In addition the institution should play a key role in the appraisal and financing of major developmental public sector projects and Public Private Partnerships.

Keywords: Investment-led growth; institutional capability; project evaluation; public comparator analysis; corporate lending; credit risk. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D61 G17 G21 G32 G33 H43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27 pages
Date: 2016-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ppm
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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