Who Gains the Most in Preferential Trade Agreements?

Juyoung Cheong (jcheong@khu.ac.kr) and Shino Takayama (s.takayama@economics.uq.edu.au)

No 475, Discussion Papers Series from University of Queensland, School of Economics

Abstract: Using recent extensive data of bilateral trade in manufacturing, we study the relations between trade flows, each country’s technological levels, and geographic barriers. Then, we calibrate the equilibrium of a general equilibrium model to explore how a Trans-Pacific Partnership affects each country’s welfare and trade flows. We decompose the total change of trade flows from member countries into income effects and substitution effects, and investigate the factors that affect trade flows. We demonstrate that a positive coalition externality could exist in that some nonmember countries could gain more than member countries and further investigate under which circumstances it arises.

Date: 2013-01-17
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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