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Biased Beliefs in Search Markets

Tobias Gamp and Daniel Krähmer
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Tobias Gamp: HU Berlin
Daniel Krähmer: University of Bonn

No 365, Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series from CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition

Abstract: We study the implications of biased consumer beliefs for search market outcomes in the seminal framework due to Diamond (1971). Biased consumers base their search strategy on a belief function which specifies for any (true) distribution of utility offers in the market a possibly incorrect distribution of utility offers. If biased consumers overestimate the best offer in the market, a novel type of equilibrium may emerge in which firms make exceptionally favourable offers in order to meet biased consumers' unreasonable high expectations which then become partially self-fulfilling. Consequently, the presence of biased consumers may improve the welfare of all consumers.

Keywords: consumer search; bounded rationality; cursed beliefs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D18 D21 D43 D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-12-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-com, nep-mic and nep-upt
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