The Ins and Arounds of the Housing Market

Daniel Cooper and Ruediger Bachmann

No 79, 2012 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: This paper uses longitudinal micro data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) to document the turnover behavior in the housing market. Fact 1: moves are procyclical. Fact 2: the gross flows into and out of the owner-occupied segment of the housing market are four times larger than the corresponding net flows. Fact 3: net flows and gross flows into and out of the owner-occupied segment of the housing market are procyclical. Fact 4: rent-to-rent flows lead the cycle, but then become countercyclical. Fact 5: rent-to-own flows tend to lead the cycle. Fact 6: own-to-own flows tend to lag the cycle. Fact 7: own-to-rent flows are acyclical. Fact 8: geographically close moves within the same zip code are procyclical for all households, but acyclical for households with a displaced household head. Fact 9: moves across state lines are procyclical independently of the labor market fate of the household. Fact 10: there is little evidence that labor market flows, in particular flows from employment into unemployment, drive housing flows.

Date: 2012
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