Ambiguity, Monetary Policy and Trend Inflation

Francesca Monti and Riccardo M. Masolo

No 508, 2017 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics

Abstract: Allowing for ambiguity, or Knightian uncertainty, about the behavior of the policymaker helps explain the evolution of trend inflation in the US in a simple new-Keynesian model, without resorting to exogenous changes in the inflation target. Using Blue Chip survey data to gauge the degree of private sector confidence, our model helps reconcile the difference between target inflation and the inflation trend measured in the data. We also show how, in the presence of ambiguity, it is optimal for policymakers to lean against the private sectors pessimistic expectations.

Date: 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
https://red-files-public.s3.amazonaws.com/meetpapers/2017/paper_508.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Ambiguity, Monetary Policy and Trend Inflation (2021)
Working Paper: Ambiguity, Monetary Policy and Trend Inflation (2017)
Working Paper: Ambiguity, monetary policy and trend inflation (2017)
Working Paper: Ambiguity, monetary policy and trend inflation (2015)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed017:508

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in 2017 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Christian Zimmermann ().