A Participatory Stakeholder Process for Evaluating Sustainable Energy Transition Scenarios

Tim Höfer () and Reinhard Madlener
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Tim Höfer: E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN), https://www.fcn.eonerc.rwth-aachen.de

No 6/2019, FCN Working Papers from E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN)

Abstract: This paper presents an evaluation of four energy transition scenarios under consideration of multiple stakeholder opinions. We construct a multi-criteria group decision model that applies Value-Focused Thinking to construct a holistic objective system and Multi-Attribute Utility Theory to evaluate the energy transition scenarios. Although the individual scenario evaluations show that the opinions of the stakeholders towards a sustainable energy transition differ largely, we are able to derive three main strands of opinions among the considered stakeholders. For this, we apply a clustering technique to identify and bundle the stakeholders into three groups. This bundling of stakeholder interests enables the identification of the most important policy recommendations for a sustainable energy transition. For the case of Germany, these are to reduce GHG and pollutant emissions and at the same time enable citizens’ participation, limit the visual impact on landscapes, and ensuring internationally comparable energy-related political frameworks for the economy. For the case of a sustainable energy transition in Germany, we find that the stakeholders considered prefer either the highly ambitious climate protection scenario (Scenario B) or the Pan-European scenario (Scenario C). The reference scenario, which was developed by the German Transmission System Operators (TSOs), turns out to be relatively unpopular.

Keywords: Value-Focused Thinking; Group Decision Making; MAUT; Energy Scenarios (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D70 D81 O52 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 41 pages
Date: 2019-05-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-ene, nep-env, nep-ore, nep-reg and nep-upt
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Related works:
Journal Article: A participatory stakeholder process for evaluating sustainable energy transition scenarios (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:fcnwpa:2019_006

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