브렉시트의 경제적 영향 분석과 한국의 대응전략 (Economic Impacts of Brexit and Its Policy Implications to Korea)

Heung Chong Kim (), Young Gui Kim (), Minsoo Han (), Jong Duk Kim (), Moon hee Cho (), You-Jin Lim (), Younglo Ko (), Changmin Cheon (), Soon Yeong Choi (), Sung Wook Hong () and Seong-hwan Min ()
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Heung Chong Kim: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
Young Gui Kim: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
Minsoo Han: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
Jong Duk Kim: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
Moon hee Cho: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
You-Jin Lim: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
Younglo Ko: Government of the Republic of Kosovo - Ministry of Culture, Youth and Sport
Changmin Cheon: Korea Capital Market Institute (KCMI)
Soon Yeong Choi: Korea Capital Market Institute (KCMI)
Sung Wook Hong: Texas A&M University
Seong-hwan Min: Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade

No 16-17, Policy Analyses from Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Abstract: Korean Abstract: 2016년 6월 23일 영국의 EU 탈퇴 국민투표에서 브렉시트가 결정되자, 전 세계는 큰 충격에 휩싸였고 세계경제에 불확실성이 더해졌다. 국민투표 이후 지난 6개월 동안 EU 탈퇴과정으로 인한 혼란이 계속되고 있으며, 브렉시트가 향후 몇 년 동안 세계경제의 불안요인으로 자리 잡을 것으로 보인다. 이 연구는 현재 진행 중인 브렉시트의 복합적인 측면을 이해하고 한국에 미치는 영향을 폭넓게 파악하기 위한 종합적 연구의 일환으로, 브렉시트 탈퇴협상의 진행상황과 향후 전망, 탈퇴과정상에서 예상되는 여러 문제점과 법적 쟁점, 브렉시트의 거시경제적 영향과 우리나라 산업에 미치는 영향, 한·EU FTA를 포함한 한·EU 경제통상관계의 변화에 대한 경제학적·법적 해석을 통한 정책 시사점 등 다양한 이슈를 폭넓게 다루고 있다. English Abstract: The Brexit referendum, which took place on 23 June, 2016, revealed the British people's willingness for their country to leave the EU. The year 2017 will witness the beginning of Brexit negotiations between the UK and the EU taking place in a time full of uncertainties arising from the possibility of the negotiations extending beyond the originally planned duration of two years, ambiguity in EU’s competency areas leading to a complicated decision-making process in the Council, whether or not British MEPs should be given voting rights in the European Parliament, and so forth. One of the key issues in the relation between the UK and the EU in the post-Brexit era is whether or not the UK maintains full access to the Single Market, which is directly related to the issue of if the principle of free movement of the four factors of people, capital, goods and services still holds after Brexit. It will be a key factor to evaluate accessibility to the Single Market if British sovereignty on commercial policy and immigration is restored, and the principle of homogeneity does hold. Thinking carefully over several cases of the models of Single Market, half Single Market, or non-Single Market would lead to a pessimistic reasoning that the UK would hardly be able to maintain Single Market accessibility, and be inclined to take the non-Single Market model.

Pages: 219 pages
Date: 2016-12-30
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