Russia's Possible Demographic Scenarios and Their Consequences

Возможные демографические сценарии России и их последствия

Arkhangelskiy , Vladimir (Архангельский, Владимир) (), Sergey Shulgin, Efremov, Igor (Ефремов, Игорь) () and Pustovalov, Denis Nikolaevich (Пустовалов, Денис Николаевич) ()
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Arkhangelskiy , Vladimir (Архангельский, Владимир): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
Efremov, Igor (Ефремов, Игорь): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
Pustovalov, Denis Nikolaevich (Пустовалов, Денис Николаевич): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Working Papers from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Abstract: The paper substantiates the methodology of construction of scenarios for the main demographic processes: fertility, mortality and migration. For the four scenarios (most likely, pessimistic, optimistic, and super optimistic) calculations of demographic trajectories are made. This paper presents the trajectory and scenarios for Russia as a whole. For derived demographic trajectories of the analysis of the population structure and describes the possible consequences of the upcoming changes.

Keywords: demography; scenarios; Russia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 81 pages
Date: 2016-06-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-cis and nep-tra
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