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ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM OF MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING IN THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN

ОРГАНИЗАЦИЯ СИСТЕМЫ МАКРОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОГО АНАЛИЗА И ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ В РЕСПУБЛИКЕ УЗБЕКИСТАН

Vedev, Aleksey (Ведев, Алексей) (), Silchuk, Anastasia (Сильчук, Анастасия) (), Tuzov, Konstantin (Тузов, Константин) (), Kovaleva, Marina (Ковалева, Марина) () and Eremkin, Vladimir (Ерёмкин, Владимир) ()
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Vedev, Aleksey (Ведев, Алексей): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Silchuk, Anastasia (Сильчук, Анастасия): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Tuzov, Konstantin (Тузов, Константин): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Kovaleva, Marina (Ковалева, Марина): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Eremkin, Vladimir (Ерёмкин, Владимир): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Working Papers from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Abstract: The relevance of the topic is related to the need to organize systems of macroeconomic analysis, as well as to improve the accuracy of forecasting in the Republic of Uzbekistan. In this regard, the development of a socio-economic development forecast for various scenarios that take into account risks and opportunities seems to be the most important task for the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan. The purpose of the study is to identify mechanisms and develop proposals for improving economic growth and investment attractiveness in the Republic of Uzbekistan. The subject of the study is the system of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting in the Republic of Uzbekistan in the medium term. The method or methodology of the study is based on the study of key current and retrospective data on the state of the sectors of the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan, highlighting the most important risks for building a medium-term forecast. As a result of the work carried out, the key components of the public sector, financial and credit markets were analyzed, and an assessment was made of the impact of the worsening external environment. Thus, the paper presents estimates of the prerequisites for the forecast and develops possible scenarios for the development of sectors of the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan. The scientific novelty of the study lies in the development of unique forecasts for the development of sectors of the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan. The recommendations received as a result of the study indicate the need to develop mechanisms for responding to certain risks for the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan, taking into account the possible consequences of such an impact presented in the forecast.

Keywords: Medium-term planning; public administration; fiscal system; recovery growth; economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 E17 E37 E47 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 57 pages
Date: 2022-11-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis
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