MONITORING THE ACHIEVEMENT OF THE NATIONAL GOALS OF DECREE NO. 204 USING INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE AND A SYSTEM OF INDICATORS FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

МОНИТОРИНГ ДОСТИЖЕНИЯ НАЦИОНАЛЬНЫХ ЦЕЛЕЙ УКАЗА №204 С ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕМ МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО ОПЫТА И СИСТЕМЫ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ УСТОЙЧИВОГО РАЗВИТИЯ

Kosarev, Vladimir (Косарев, Владимир), Makarov, Andrey (Макаров, Андрей), Pleskachev, Yuriy (Плескачев, Юрий), Ponomarev, Yuriy (Пономарев, Юрий) (), Saprykin, Matvey (Сапрыкин, Матвей) and Rostislav, Kirill (Ростислав, Кирилл)
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Kosarev, Vladimir (Косарев, Владимир): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Makarov, Andrey (Макаров, Андрей): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Pleskachev, Yuriy (Плескачев, Юрий): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Ponomarev, Yuriy (Пономарев, Юрий): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Saprykin, Matvey (Сапрыкин, Матвей): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Rostislav, Kirill (Ростислав, Кирилл): The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Working Papers from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Abstract: National development goals achievability analysis, as well as the impact of national projects on the achievement of these goals, has been conducted on an ongoing basis since the signing of Presidential Decree No. 204 of 7.05.2018 and represents a complex task. This study presents an attempt to build such a model based on machine learning methods. Several important points need to be taken into account while building such model: the ability to effectively take into account nonlinear dependencies between factors, the possibility of using large arrays of heterogeneous incoming data, taking into account the influence of macroeconomic factors, as well as the direct results of national projects on indicators of national development goals. With the help of the constructed model, a shortterm forecast for 2022 was built for several indicators of national goals. As a part of the model this paper also analyzes the mutual impact of expenditures on national projects, as well as their contribution to the achievement of national development goals.

Pages: 47 pages
Date: 2022-11-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-env and nep-mac
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