Intergenerational transmission of lockdown consequences: Prognosis of the longer-run persistence of COVID-19 in Latin America

Guido Neidhöfer, Nora Lustig and Mariano Tommasi

No 148, Working Papers from Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia

Abstract: The shock on human capital caused by COVID-19 is likely to have long lasting consequences, especially for children of low-educated families. Applying a counterfactual exercise we project the effects of school closures and other lockdown policies on the intergenerational persistence of education in 17 Latin American countries. First, we retrieve detailed information on school lockdowns and on the policies enacted to support education from home in each country. Then, we use this information to estimate the potential impact of the pandemic on schooling, high school completion, and intergenerational associations. In addition, we account for educational disruptions related to household income shocks. Our findings show that, despite that mitigation policies were able to partly reduce instructional losses in some countries, the educational attainment of the most vulnerable could be seriously affected. In particular, the likelihood of children from low educated families to attain a secondary schooling degree could fall substantially.

Keywords: COVID-19; lockdowns; human capital; school closures; intergenerational persistence; education; inequality; Latin America (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I24 I38 J62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2021-03, Revised 2021-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-edu and nep-lam
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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https://webacademicos.udesa.edu.ar/pub/econ/doc148.pdf First version, March 2021 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Intergenerational transmission of lockdown consequences: prognosis of the longer-run persistence of COVID-19 in Latin America (2021)
Working Paper: Intergenerational transmission of lockdown consequences: Prognosis of the longer-run persistence of COVID-19 in Latin America (2021)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sad:wpaper:148

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