Three Two Tango: Territorial Control and Selective Violence in Israel, the West Bank, and Gaza
Ravi Bhavnani,
Dan Miodownik and
Hyun Jin Choi
Additional contact information
Ravi Bhavnani: Department of Political Science, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA, bhavnani@msu.edu
Dan Miodownik: Departments of Political Science & International Relations, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
Hyun Jin Choi: Department of Political Science, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA
Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2011, vol. 55, issue 1, 133-158
Abstract:
This article extends the formal logic of Stathis Kalyvas’ theory of selective violence to account for three political actors with asymmetric capabilities. In contrast to Kalyvas’ theory, the authors’ computer simulation suggests that (1) selective violence by the stronger actor will be concentrated in areas where weaker actors exercise control; (2) the relative level of selective violence used by weaker actors will be lower because of a reduced capacity to induce civilian collaboration; and (3) areas of parity among the three actors will exhibit low levels of selective violence perpetrated primarily by the strongest actor. Results from a logistic regression, using empirical data on Israel and two rival Palestinian factions from 2006 to 2008, are consistent with these predictions: Israel was more likely to use selective violence in areas largely controlled by Palestinian factions; zones of incomplete Israeli control were not prone to selective violence; and zones of mixed control witnessed moderate levels of selective violence, mainly by Israel. Nonetheless, Palestinian violence remained consistent with Kalyvas’ predictions.
Keywords: violence; control; Israel; West Bank; Gaza; agent-based model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:55:y:2011:i:1:p:133-158
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