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The Democratic Window of Opportunity

Toke Aidt and Gabriel Leon

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2016, vol. 60, issue 4, 694-717

Abstract: We show that drought-induced changes in the intensity of riots lead to moves toward democracy in sub-Saharan Africa and that these changes are often a result of concessions made as a result of the riots. This provides evidence that low-intensity conflict can have a substantial short-run impact on democratic change and supports the “window of opportunity†hypothesis: droughts lead to an increase in the threat of conflict, and incumbents often respond by making democratic concessions.

Keywords: riots; drought; transitions; democracy; autocracy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (29)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:60:y:2016:i:4:p:694-717

DOI: 10.1177/0022002714564014

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