Dynamic Transmission Modeling

Richard Pitman, David Fisman, Gregory S. Zaric, Maarten Postma, Mirjam Kretzschmar, John Edmunds and Marc Brisson

Medical Decision Making, 2012, vol. 32, issue 5, 712-721

Abstract: The transmissible nature of communicable diseases is what sets them apart from other diseases modeled by health economists. The probability of a susceptible individual becoming infected at any one point in time (the force of infection) is related to the number of infectious individuals in the population, will change over time, and will feed back into the future force of infection. These nonlinear interactions produce transmission dynamics that require specific consideration when modeling an intervention that has an impact on the transmission of a pathogen. Best practices for designing and building these models are set out in this paper.

Keywords: modeling; methods; dynamic transmission; good practices; infectious disease (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:medema:v:32:y:2012:i:5:p:712-721

DOI: 10.1177/0272989X12454578

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