The Misalignment of Fiscal Multipliers in Italian Regions

Francesco Lucidi

No 204, Working Papers in Public Economics from Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma

Abstract: By accounting for the structural heterogeneity between northern and southern economies, this paper estimates fiscal multipliers resulting from shocks to current public expenditure, total public revenues and public investment in Italian regions. The estimation is carried out by estimating a panel Bayesian VAR, where the structural shocks are identified by means of sign restrictions suggested by economic theory. The results shed new light on the magnitude of regional fiscal shocks and their propagation. Moreover, a misalignment of fiscal multipliers is revealed, which is possibly policy relevant for both local and central authorities.

Keywords: Fiscal multipliers; Public investment; Panel VAR; Sign restrictions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 E62 E63 H5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36
Date: 2021-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-ure
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Journal Article: The misalignment of fiscal multipliers in Italian regions (2023)
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