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The Future Development of EU Exports in a Global Context

Robert Stehrer, Sandra Leitner and Roman Stöllinger

No 8, CASE Working Papers from CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research

Abstract: Global trade patterns are changing rapidly. Emerging economies are increasing their share of exports overall and intensifying competition in nearly all sectors. Using a gravity-based approach, this report examines the future profile of European Union (EU) world market shares at the aggregate and sectoral level. It further points towards the changing patterns of trade within the EU. Based on the results, some conclusions on EU industrial policy are drawn.

Keywords: global trade patterns; gravity scenarios; EU industrial policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F17 F63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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