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Is Time an Illusion? A Bootstrap Likelihood Ratio Approach to Testing Shock Transmission Delays in DSGE Models

Giovanni Angelini (g.angelini@unibo.it), Luca Fanelli (luca.fanelli@unibo.it) and Marco Sorge
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Giovanni Angelini: Università di Bologna

CSEF Working Papers from Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy

Abstract: Recently developed models of the business cycle exhibit a recursive timing structure, which enforces delayed propagation of exogenous shocks driving short-run dynamics. We propose a simple empirical strategy to test for the relevance of timing restrictions and ensuing shock transmission delays in general DSGE environments. Based on a bootstrap maximum likelihood estimator, our approach mitigates over-rejection concerns typically arising from conventional tests of non-linear hypotheses that exploit first-order asymptotic approximations. We showcase the empirical usefulness of the testing procedure by means of numerical simulations of a workhorse model of the monetary transmission mechanism.

Keywords: DSGE models; Timing restrictions; Transmission delays. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 C3 E3 E5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-09-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-ecm
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