MODELING HUMAN FACTORS IN AN EVACUATION WITH BAYESIAN NETWORK FRAMEWORK

Noraida Abdul Ghani (), Nurulhuda Ramli (), Intan Hashimah Mohd Hashim () and Zulkarnain Ahmad Hatta ()
Additional contact information
Noraida Abdul Ghani: Universiti Sains Malaysia
Nurulhuda Ramli: Universiti Sains Malaysia
Intan Hashimah Mohd Hashim: Universiti Sains Malaysia
Zulkarnain Ahmad Hatta: Universiti Sains Malaysia

No 1003551, Proceedings of International Academic Conferences from International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences

Abstract: The success of an evacuation process during any emergency situations involves many interacting factors between the occupants, hazards, building geometries and environment. With the advancement of computer capability, an increasing number of scholars are now focusing on developing evacuation models by applying the laws and theories of human behaviour. However, these models did not take into account the socio-psychological aspects that can impact an individual?s decision making in emergency situations. Consulting experts in the related field of human behaviour can be a useful means to provide substantive information and supplement existing evacuation model. In this paper the relevance of important variables such as physical, psychological, sociological and situational characteristics are discussed. In the case of an emergency, these factors can either motivate or constrain human evacuation process. Using an expert judgment exercise, a graphical presentation called a Bayesian Network (BN) connecting all key factors that affect the success of an evacuation is developed. The usefulness of the approach is investigated using an example. The findings of this paper will be used in the quantification phase of the current model to identify possible consequences of influential factors in decision making and predicting human fatalities in an evacuation system.

Keywords: Evacuation; Human factors; Bayesian Network; Elicitation; Expert Judgment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 1 page
Date: 2015-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-sea
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Published in Proceedings of the Proceedings of the 15th International Academic Conference, Rome, May 2015, pages 1-1

Downloads: (external link)
https://iises.net/proceedings/international-academ ... =10&iid=001&rid=3551 First version, 2015

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sek:iacpro:1003551

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Proceedings of International Academic Conferences from International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Klara Cermakova ().