Randomness or stock-flow: Which mechanism describes labour market matching in Poland?

Ewa Gałecka-Burdziak

No 2016-005, KAE Working Papers from Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis

Abstract: I compare random, stock-flow and job queuing models to determine which mechanism prevails in the Polish labour market. I use monthly registered unemployment data for the period 1999 - 2013 and econometrically correct for temporal aggregation bias in the data. I extend the known solutions to make them directly applicable to a job queuing model. I find that stocks and inflows engage in a matching process. Job seekers (from the pool) seek work among old and new job posts, but only a small fraction of the newly unemployed individuals find work instantaneously. Vacancies are the driving force in aggregate hiring, but the inflow is more important than the stock. The random model has greater explanatory power, although the results do not negate the non-random model. The random model entails the need to improve information to facilitate matching. The stock-flow model implies that policy should aim at creating more job offers.

Keywords: Stock-flow matching; Random matching; Job queuing; Polish labour market; Temporal aggregation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J63 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2016-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pr~, nep-lab and nep-tra
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http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12182/1083 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Randomness or stock–flow: which mechanism describes labour market matching in Poland? (2017)
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