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Global Racist Contagion following Donald Trump’s Election

Marco Giani and Pierre-Guillaume Méon

No 17-034, Working Papers CEB from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: Using a causal inference in a cross-country regression design made possible by the coincidence that the 2016 US Presidential election occurred during the fieldwork period of the European Social Survey (ESS8), we test whether Donald Trump’s unexpected win increased the willingness to report racist attitudes. The election significantly increased the gap between the opposition to different-race immigration, which did not change, vs. same-race immigration, which significantly decreased. The finding, robust to a large set of checks, is shown to be substantially shaped by socioeconomic and partisan identities. In particular, the causal effect of Donald Trump’s unexpected win on the willingness to report racist attitudes is stronger among old men living in urban areas. Moreover, the aggregate effect is driven by extreme right-wing units with high level of political interest.

Keywords: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Political Processes: Rent-Seeking; Lobbying; Elections; Legislatures and Voting Behavior; Political Economy; Cultural Economics; Economic Sociology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 D72 P16 Z10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 p.
Date: 2017-12-15
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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