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Limited impact of UPPs over criminality

Matheus Sérgio Custódio de Almeida () and Paula Carvalho Pereda ()

No 2019_34, Working Papers, Department of Economics from University of São Paulo (FEA-USP)

Abstract: The effects of the implementation of UPPs have not yet been evaluated for its entire period. This paper aims to evaluate the impact on crime rates in the city of Rio de Janeiro using as control group districts of the city of São Paulo. Then, a difference-in-difference model is combined with a propensity score analysis. The results indicate that the UPPs were successful only in the initial years. The cost-effectiveness analysis of the program indicates an economic benefit of R$460 million, but net benefits are expected to vanish due to the limited effects of the policy.

Keywords: Public Security; UPPs; Differences-in-Differences; Panel Data. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 K42 Z18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-08-21
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-law
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