Contagion by COVID-19 in the Cities: Commuting distance and Residential Density matter?

Denis Alves, Raul da Mota Silveira (), André Chagas and Tatiane Almeida de Menezes ()

No 2024_07, Working Papers, Department of Economics from University of São Paulo (FEA-USP)

Abstract: [This study addresses COVID-19 infection and its relationship with the city's constructive intensity, commuting time to work, and labor market dynamics during the lockdown period. Microdata from formal workers in the city of Recife are used, adjusting a probability model for disease contraction. We identified positive and significant relationships between these urban characteristics and increased contagion, controlling for various factors such as neighborhood, individual characteristics, comorbidities, occupations, and economic activities. Our results indicate that greater distance to employment increases the probability of infection. The same applies to constructive intensity, suggesting that residences in denser areas, such as apartments in buildings, condominiums, and informal settlements, elevate the chances of contracting the disease. It is also observed that formal workers with completed higher education have lower infection risks, while healthcare professionals on the frontline of combating the disease face higher risks. Overall, the lockdown was effective in reducing contagion by limiting people's mobility during the specified period.]

Keywords: Commuting; floor-area-ratio (FAR); lockdown; COVID-19; Recife (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 C38 R11 R12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-02-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea and nep-ure
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Journal Article: Contagion by COVID-19 in the cities: commuting distance and residential density matter? (2024)
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