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Church Tax Exemption and Structure of Religious Markets: a Dynamic Structural Analysis

Raphael Corbi () and Fabio Miessi Sanches ()

No 2024_31, Working Papers, Department of Economics from University of São Paulo (FEA-USP)

Abstract: We investigate how church tax-exemption policies affect the structure of religion markets. Using the Brazilian experience as a showcase, we build and estimate a dynamic game of Church entry from temple entry/exit data in isolated markets. Counterfactuals show that tax-exemptions encouraged the opening of temples of all religions, but Evangelical churches collectively grew more than the Catholic Church. The share of Evangelical temples increased by approximately 20 p.p. as a result. By combining DiD estimates with our counterfactuals, we find that tax-exemption policies increased the vote share of politicians affiliated with the Evangelical caucus by 8% in the 2018 elections.

Keywords: Religion; Tax; Dynamic Oligopoly; Dynamic Game Estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C57 C73 H25 Z12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-12-11
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