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Initial Public Offerings of Ballplayers

John Burger, Richard Grayson and Stephen Walters (swalters@loyola.edu)
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Stephen Walters: Department of Economics, Loyola College in Maryland

No 624, Working Papers from International Association of Sports Economists, North American Association of Sports Economists

Abstract: As a field study of choice under uncertainty, we examine baseball teams' investments in amateur players. Though most prospects fail to deliver any return on their multi-million dollar signing bonuses, returns on the minority who succeed easily offset these losses: the expected annual yield on the median first-round draftee is 33 percent. However, the pattern of returns is inconsistent with market efficiency. Yields are lower for high schoolers than collegians (27 percent vs. 43 percent), lower for pitchers than position players (24 percent vs. 41 percent), decline for later round long-shots, and may be negative under competitive bidding.

Keywords: Market efficiency; Bounded rationality; Prospect theory; Winner’s curse (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D8 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37 pages
Date: 2006-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-exp and nep-upt
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