An integrated assessment of water-energy and climate change in sacramento, california: how strong is the nexus?

Larry Dale (), Nihan Karali, Dev Millstein, Mike Carnall, Sebastian Vicuña, Nicolas Borchers, Eduardo Bustos, Joe O’Hagan, David Purkey, Charles Heaps, Jack Sieber, William Collins and Michael Sohn

Climatic Change, 2015, vol. 132, issue 2, 223-235

Abstract: This paper is among the first to report on the full integration of basin-scale models that include projections of the demand and supply of water and energy for residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural sector users. We link two widely used regional planning models that allow one to study the impact of rising climate variability on water and electricity use in Sacramento, California. Historic data combined with the current energy and water system configuration was used to assess the implications of changes in temperature and precipitation. Climate simulations suggest that electricity imports to the region would increase during hot dry spells, when regional power production is most constrained. In particular, regional imports of electricity would increase over 35 % in hot dry years, assuming a 4 °C increase in average temperature and a 25 % decrease in average precipitation. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1370-x

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